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Friday 4th April 2008

Welcome to Hold or Fold - The UK's only Poker E-Letter dedicated to helping YOU become a better player!

In this week's E-Letter -

       *Little pairs - that's what - Little Pairs

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Hiya there and how have you been this week??

Well I have to report that things are getting a little better for me - I haven't completely turned the corner yet but I'm confident that the tide will change very soon - I came 25th out of 2,495 players in a H.O.R.S.E. freeroll and came 3rd out of a 65-man Double Shootout -

So nothing big - but nothing bad either....

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Little pairs - that's what - Little Pairs

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For this week's hand - I've gone back a month or so to the Poker Den Cash Games that were being shown on telly - I was going to write about a fabulous hand that was on the Premier League shown last week but unfortunately - I think there was a power cut and my video player reset itself - so when I went to play it back today - all I got was some cookery programme from BBC2 !!

So - what is this week's hand all about??

Little pairs - that's what - Little Pairs.

They can be so seductive - you pick up a pair of 6's or 7's and you think - I've already got a pair - so if another one comes on the Flop - wa hay - I'm in there !!

I think I wrote a few weeks ago that the best feeling in playing poker - even more than picking up a pair of aces - is to Flop small Trips - You've limped in with a pair of 5's and another one comes on the Flop - Fabulous feeling...

Doubly fabulous if there's also an Ace on the Flop - you can feel those chips already in your stack !

Well spare a thought for Neil Channing as you read this one...

As I said - It's the 24 hour Cash Poker Game - It's very near the end of the night and there are just 5 players left at the table.

There have been two straddle-bets...

Phil Curtis is first to act and he picks up 7S & 7D.
7S  7D

He limps in and action moves to Neil Channing who picks up 4S & 4C -
4S  4C

He limps in too.

Jesse May and Andy 'Greekfish' are commentating and just previous to this hand - Phil Curtis had just lost a big pot.

Andy: "Well Curtis is still $24,000 up and one double-up is £48,000 up and all of a sudden - he's a happy boy."

Jesse May: "We haven't had that elusive 6-figure pot - "

Andy: "Well there was more chance that this would have happened earlier on - but come a 4-7 then it may be out !! ... Well it won't be because Curtis hasn't got quite enough."

Andrew Feldman is next to act and he picks up 6D & 2D -
6D  2D

he thinks about it for a moment but with two limpers already in - he wisely folds.

Kirk Morrison was the first straddle-bet and he calls with JD & 2C
JD  2C

Then it's Robert Williamson III and he checks with QH & 10H.
QH  TH

I've been hooked on the American version of 'Who's Line is it Anyway?" and I'm absolutely convinced that Robert Williamson III is a dead ringer for Greg Proops - not only do they look alike - but they sound alike too !

Anyways - back to the table...

There is $850 in the pot and the Flop comes down: QD 7C & 4H !!
QD  7C  4H

Andy Greekfish: "Would you believe it?? Unbelievable !!"

Jesse: "Channing's going to go broke !!"

Andy: "I don't believe that - that is a cold deck!"

Neil Channing is first to act and he puts in $600

Kirk Morrison quickly folds.

Robert W3 calls.

Andy: "Just imagine if a Queen comes now - No it can't."

Phil Curtis also just calls and so there is now $2,650 in the pot and remember -
this is real dollars not tournament dollars.

Jesse whispers: "Channing's going to lose $35K here."

The Turn comes down: 8D
8D

Andy: "I was half-expecting to see a queen there."

The camera is on Neil Channing who is happily chatting away to Phil Curtis: "This is where you can start shipping the £9,000 now. I don't care if it's me or Robert."

Andy: "Now can he put someone on 5-6 and slow this down??"

Neil thinks about it for a minute or so and then bets out $1,600.

Andy: "Woah - we can categorically say that he's definitely getting raised here."

Robert W3 just calls.

Jesse: "Well there's a possible straight out there."

Andy: "And he (Phil) HAS to raise now - Curtis MUST raise. He's going to make a decent raise as well because there's a Flush draw out there, possible straight draw...."

Phil announces: "Raise - 4 more !"

Andy: "That's a small raise - that's a 'please call me' raise."

Neil had been sitting back in his chair with his elbow on the table and his head in his hand - and he suddenly sits right up - has a stretch and considers the table - as if seriously for the first time.

Robert W3:
"This is where he starts shipping the $9,000 now !"

Neil: "This is where we ship it to him !! "

Andy: "You can hear it in his voice - he's going to come over the top!"

Neil has now put his hands on the top of his head as if he's being arrested - but he's eyeing up Phil's chips to see how much he has left...

I'm sure at this point Neil feels he has the best hand and it's just a question of how much he can get from the other players...

Neil sighs: "Jeez - how much is it??"

Jesse: "He knows that Curtis is not a move maker and he knows that Curtis is playing tight."

Neil looks at the table again and now I think he thinks that maybe he doesn't have the best hand... he's not sure... He decides to call the bet so there is now $15,450 in the pot.

Robert is next to go - He decides that a pair of Queens is not enough and he wisely folds.

Andy: "Oh Dear - this isn't going to be such a big pot as we thought it would be."

Jesse laughs: "Don't be so sure."

Andy: "Well I don't think it is - I think they're both terrified - I think if it pairs the board now like an eight or a queen - then we're definitely all-in I feel - they're both scared of a straight or a flush."

The River comes down: AS
AS

Andy: "Well that's no help. Let's see what Channing is going to come out and do."

Neil checks.

Andy: "Curtis KNOWS he's winning now - 100% How much can he get paid he's thinking - $10,000??"

Jesse: "This could be the coldest deck we've seen all night long."

Andy: "If he bets $10,000 - there's every chance Channing might come over the top."

Phil thinks about it for a moment and then bets out $6,000 Neil is totally relieved at the small amount and instantly calls.

Andy: "Oh - very small."

They both turn over their cards and they see what the other had.

Andy: "Phil just wanted paying - he didn't put Neil on such a big hand."

Neil says: "Well I was thinking about the Queen..."

Phil: "It kind of slowed us down. If it comes a complete blank on the Turn then it goes in doesn't it."

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Post Mortem

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As it turned out - the Flop and Turn were quite 'fluid' as Howard Lederer calls it.

There was a possible straight and a flush-draw and so Trips didn't seem quite as good as if it had been a 'non-fluid' board.

It is definitely a big consideration when making bets - like Phil said - if it had been a complete blank on the Turn then they would both have been all-in - but because the 8 made a possible straight - then they both had to consider the possibility of the other player having the better hand.

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By the way - Did you know that it has been one year since I started these e-letters?? So I would just like to say thank you to the 1,000+ readers of my weekly missive and say that your support is very much appreciated.

I hope to continue providing fascinating hands for you and me to mull over each week. Well I hope you have a good week - may the cards be with you and I'll see you again next Friday.

All the best


Meg Arana
Hold or Fold